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The One-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Jiangsu Linyang Energy (SHSE:601222) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 6 18:04

Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. Unfortunately the Jiangsu Linyang Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601222) share price slid 37% over twelve months. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 28%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 11% in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 17% in the last 90 days. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 21% in the same timeframe.

After losing 4.3% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Jiangsu Linyang Energy share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 38%. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.

The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. So it's easy to justify a look at some other metrics.

Jiangsu Linyang Energy managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since the fundamental metrics don't readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

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SHSE:601222 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 6th 2024

We know that Jiangsu Linyang Energy has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Jiangsu Linyang Energy will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Jiangsu Linyang Energy shareholders are down 35% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 28%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.9%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Jiangsu Linyang Energy has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course Jiangsu Linyang Energy may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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