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Is Anjoy Foods Group (SHSE:603345) A Risky Investment?

Is Anjoy Foods Group (SHSE:603345) A Risky Investment?

安卓食品集團(上海證券交易所代碼:603345)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/05 23:15

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Anjoy Foods Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603345) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,安兆食品集團有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603345)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Anjoy Foods Group's Net Debt?

Anjoy Foods Group的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Anjoy Foods Group had debt of CN¥500.2m, up from CN¥439.7m in one year. However, it does have CN¥6.12b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥5.62b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,安喜食品集團的債務爲5.02億元人民幣,高於一年內的4.397億元人民幣。但是,它確實有61.2億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲56.2億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603345 Debt to Equity History February 6th 2024
SHSE: 603345 2024 年 2 月 6 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Anjoy Foods Group's Balance Sheet?

Anjoy Foods Group的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Anjoy Foods Group had liabilities of CN¥3.78b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥400.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.12b as well as receivables valued at CN¥570.9m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.51b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,Anjoy Foods Group的負債爲37.8億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲4.008億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有61.2億元的現金以及價值5.709億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有2.51億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that Anjoy Foods Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Anjoy Foods Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明Anjoy Foods Group的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Anjoy Foods Group的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

On top of that, Anjoy Foods Group grew its EBIT by 77% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Anjoy Foods Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

最重要的是,在過去的十二個月中,Anjoy Foods集團的息稅前利潤增長了77%,這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益將決定Anjoy Foods Group未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Anjoy Foods Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Anjoy Foods Group reported free cash flow worth 4.1% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。儘管Anjoy Foods Group的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去三年中,Anjoy Foods Group報告的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的4.1%,確實很低。這種低迷的現金轉換水平削弱了其管理和償還債務的能力。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Anjoy Foods Group has CN¥5.62b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 77% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Anjoy Foods Group's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Anjoy Foods Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,Anjoy Foods Group的淨現金爲56.2億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長77%的樣子。因此,我們認爲Anjoy Foods Group使用債務沒有風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如-Anjoy Foods Group 有 1 個我們認爲您應該注意的警告標誌。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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