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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Geovis Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:688568)?

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 5 22:30

It is hard to get excited after looking at Geovis TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:688568) recent performance, when its stock has declined 30% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Geovis TechnologyLtd's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Geovis TechnologyLtd is:

10% = CN¥376m ÷ CN¥3.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Geovis TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

At first glance, Geovis TechnologyLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 4.4% doesn't go unnoticed by us. Even more so after seeing Geovis TechnologyLtd's exceptional 26% net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. So, there might well be other reasons for the earnings to grow. Such as- high earnings retention or the company belonging to a high growth industry.

As a next step, we compared Geovis TechnologyLtd's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 4.6%.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:688568 Past Earnings Growth February 6th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Geovis TechnologyLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Geovis TechnologyLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Geovis TechnologyLtd's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 20% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (80%) of its profits. So it looks like Geovis TechnologyLtd is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Moreover, Geovis TechnologyLtd is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of three years of paying a dividend. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 21%. Still, forecasts suggest that Geovis TechnologyLtd's future ROE will rise to 14% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Geovis TechnologyLtd's performance. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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