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Benign Growth For Realcan Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002589) Underpins Stock's 30% Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 5 17:36

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Realcan Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002589) shares are down a considerable 30% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 45% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, Realcan Pharmaceutical Group may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Healthcare industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002589 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024

What Does Realcan Pharmaceutical Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Realcan Pharmaceutical Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Realcan Pharmaceutical Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Realcan Pharmaceutical Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 47% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 73% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we understand why Realcan Pharmaceutical Group's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Realcan Pharmaceutical Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of Realcan Pharmaceutical Group's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It's no surprise that Realcan Pharmaceutical Group maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Realcan Pharmaceutical Group, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Realcan Pharmaceutical Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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