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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Luoyang Northglass Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002613) Shares Dive 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 4 19:03

Luoyang Northglass Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002613) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 43% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 26x, you may still consider Luoyang Northglass TechnologyLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 32.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Luoyang Northglass TechnologyLtd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002613 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Luoyang Northglass TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Luoyang Northglass TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 54% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 198% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the market is similarly expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Luoyang Northglass TechnologyLtd is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Despite the recent share price weakness, Luoyang Northglass TechnologyLtd's P/E remains higher than most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Luoyang Northglass TechnologyLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Luoyang Northglass TechnologyLtd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Luoyang Northglass TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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