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Shanghai LaiyifenLtd (SHSE:603777) Shareholders Have Lost 43% Over 1 Year, Earnings Decline Likely the Culprit

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 3 21:27

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. That downside risk was realized by Shanghai Laiyifen Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603777) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 43%. That's well below the market decline of 26%. The silver lining (for longer term investors) is that the stock is still 12% higher than it was three years ago. Furthermore, it's down 16% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 17% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Shanghai LaiyifenLtd isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

We don't think that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

In just one year Shanghai LaiyifenLtd saw its revenue fall by 5.4%. That looks pretty grim, at a glance. The stock price has languished lately, falling 43% in a year. That seems pretty reasonable given the lack of both profits and revenue growth. It's hard to escape the conclusion that buyers must envision either growth down the track, cost cutting, or both.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603777 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 4th 2024

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 26% in the twelve months, Shanghai LaiyifenLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 43% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 3% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai LaiyifenLtd .

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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