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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603356) 29% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 3 19:19

Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603356) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 26% in that time.

After such a large drop in price, it would be understandable if you think Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1x, considering almost half the companies in China's Machinery industry have P/S ratios above 2.3x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:603356 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 4th 2024

What Does Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 17%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 13% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 27% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we understand why Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology's P/S?

The southerly movements of Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's no surprise that Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Xuancheng Valin Precision Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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