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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By China Tourism And Culture Investment Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600358) 26% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 3 19:21

China Tourism And Culture Investment Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600358) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 45% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4x, since almost half of all companies in the Hospitality industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 5.2x and even P/S higher than 8x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600358 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 4th 2024

What Does China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 24% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 37% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's understandable that China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's P/S

The southerly movements of China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for China Tourism And Culture Investment GroupLtd (2 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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