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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603303) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 19:00

The Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603303) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 46% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.5x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 50x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603303 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 3rd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 51%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 13% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.3% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 41% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting's P/E

Shares in Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than Hengdian Group Tospo Lighting. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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