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Aecc Aero-Engine Control Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000738) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 17:09

The Aecc Aero-Engine Control Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000738) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 47% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd's P/E ratio of 25.2x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 28x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent times have been pleasing for Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000738 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 19% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 80% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 31% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 41%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd's P/E

Following Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd's share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Aecc Aero-Engine ControlLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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