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MultiPlan Corporation (NYSE:MPLN) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 26% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 2 05:24

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the MultiPlan Corporation (NYSE:MPLN) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 23% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, MultiPlan's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Healthcare Services industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.1x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:MPLN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

What Does MultiPlan's Recent Performance Look Like?

MultiPlan could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on MultiPlan will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is MultiPlan's Revenue Growth Trending?

MultiPlan's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 16%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.7% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 12%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that MultiPlan's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does MultiPlan's P/S Mean For Investors?

MultiPlan's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of MultiPlan's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Having said that, be aware MultiPlan is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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