Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Longshine Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300682) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 58% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Longshine Technology Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 28x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Longshine Technology Group has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Is There Some Growth For Longshine Technology Group?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Longshine Technology Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 56% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 44% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 38% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 22% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Longshine Technology Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Following Longshine Technology Group's share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Longshine Technology Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Longshine Technology Group, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Longshine Technology Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.