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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Fujian Rongji Software Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002474) As Shares Slide 25%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 18:46

Fujian Rongji Software Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002474) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 50% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.4x, you may still consider Fujian Rongji Software as a stock probably not worth researching with its 5.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002474 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Fujian Rongji Software's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Fujian Rongji Software over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fujian Rongji Software, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Fujian Rongji Software's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Fujian Rongji Software's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 10%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 17% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 45% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Fujian Rongji Software's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Fujian Rongji Software's P/S Mean For Investors?

Fujian Rongji Software's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Fujian Rongji Software revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Fujian Rongji Software, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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