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It's Down 32% But EC Healthcare (HKG:2138) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 18:06

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the EC Healthcare (HKG:2138) share price has dived 32% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 88% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, it would be understandable if you think EC Healthcare is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.3x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Consumer Services industry have P/S ratios above 1.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2138 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Has EC Healthcare Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for EC Healthcare as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on EC Healthcare will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

EC Healthcare's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 152% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 17% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that EC Healthcare's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does EC Healthcare's P/S Mean For Investors?

EC Healthcare's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for EC Healthcare remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - EC Healthcare has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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