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Hebei Jianxin Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300107) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 17:17

Hebei Jianxin Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300107) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 29% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Hebei Jianxin Chemical is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300107 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Hebei Jianxin Chemical Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hebei Jianxin Chemical over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hebei Jianxin Chemical will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Hebei Jianxin Chemical's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 8.5% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Hebei Jianxin Chemical is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Hebei Jianxin Chemical's P/S Mean For Investors?

There's still some elevation in Hebei Jianxin Chemical's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Hebei Jianxin Chemical revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Hebei Jianxin Chemical (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hebei Jianxin Chemical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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