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DermTech, Inc. (NASDAQ:DMTK) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 31% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 08:12

DermTech, Inc. (NASDAQ:DMTK) shares have had a horrible month, losing 31% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 78% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, DermTech may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 13.2x and even P/S higher than 56x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:DMTK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does DermTech's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

DermTech could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on DermTech will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is DermTech's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like DermTech's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.2%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 168% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 29% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 726% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why DermTech's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On DermTech's P/S

Having almost fallen off a cliff, DermTech's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that DermTech maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for DermTech you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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