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Benign Growth For American Well Corporation (NYSE:AMWL) Underpins Stock's 30% Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 07:42

American Well Corporation (NYSE:AMWL) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 30% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 74% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, American Well's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Healthcare Services industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.1x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:AMWL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does American Well's Recent Performance Look Like?

American Well hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on American Well will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is American Well's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, American Well would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.1% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 16% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 6.5% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why American Well's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

American Well's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Healthcare Services companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that American Well maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with American Well, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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