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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CARM) 26% Price Drop

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 1 05:24

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Carisma Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CARM) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Carisma Therapeutics may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 13.2x and even P/S higher than 56x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqGM:CARM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Carisma Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Carisma Therapeutics certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Carisma Therapeutics.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Carisma Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 135%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 28% per year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 231% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Carisma Therapeutics' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Carisma Therapeutics' P/S?

Shares in Carisma Therapeutics have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of Carisma Therapeutics' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Carisma Therapeutics.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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