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Digital Domain Holdings Limited's (HKG:547) 45% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 21:50

Despite an already strong run, Digital Domain Holdings Limited (HKG:547) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 45% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 64% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may consider Digital Domain Holdings as a stock not worth researching with its 3.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Digital Domain Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:547 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

How Has Digital Domain Holdings Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Digital Domain Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Digital Domain Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Digital Domain Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.5%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 49% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 45% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Digital Domain Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Digital Domain Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Digital Domain Holdings have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Digital Domain Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Digital Domain Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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