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Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002842) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 18:23

The Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002842) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 32% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Metals and Mining industry is similar at about 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002842 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

How Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.8% last year. Revenue has also lifted 22% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 29% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 16%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten's P/S?

Following Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Having said that, be aware Guangdong Xianglu Tungsten is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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