share_log

Shenzhen Jame Technology Corp., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300868) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 18:33

Shenzhen Jame Technology Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:300868) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 3.1% over that longer period.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Shenzhen Jame Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Tech industry in China, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Jame Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300868 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

How Shenzhen Jame Technology Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Shenzhen Jame Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Jame Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Shenzhen Jame Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 24% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 28% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Shenzhen Jame Technology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Jame Technology's P/S

Following Shenzhen Jame Technology's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that Shenzhen Jame Technology currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Jame Technology you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment