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Changshu Guorui Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300600) 29% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 18:18

Changshu Guorui Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300600) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may still consider Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300600 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 62% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 43% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 29% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price drop, Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Having said that, be aware Changshu Guorui TechnologyLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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