share_log

Some Zhongfu Information Inc. (SZSE:300659) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 30% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 17:58

The Zhongfu Information Inc. (SZSE:300659) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 30%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 44% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhongfu Information's P/S ratio of 4.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Software industry in China is also close to 5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Zhongfu Information

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300659 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Zhongfu Information's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Zhongfu Information's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhongfu Information's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Zhongfu Information's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhongfu Information would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 7.0% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Zhongfu Information's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Zhongfu Information's P/S Mean For Investors?

Following Zhongfu Information's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Zhongfu Information's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Having said that, be aware Zhongfu Information is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment