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Hubei Goto Biopharm Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300966) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 26% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 17:14

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Hubei Goto Biopharm Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300966) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 39% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 6.7x and even P/S above 12x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300966 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.3% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 16% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 825% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Biotechs companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Hubei Goto BiopharmLtd has 7 warning signs (and 5 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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