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Investors Give Ranpak Holdings Corp. (NYSE:PACK) Shares A 25% Hiding

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 31 05:20

The Ranpak Holdings Corp. (NYSE:PACK) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 43% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Ranpak Holdings' P/S ratio of 1.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Packaging industry in the United States is also close to 0.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Ranpak Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:PACK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Ranpak Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Ranpak Holdings has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to begin matching the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S from declining. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Ranpak Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Ranpak Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Ranpak Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.7% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 15% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.4% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 1.2%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Ranpak Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Following Ranpak Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Ranpak Holdings' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

Having said that, be aware Ranpak Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Ranpak Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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