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It's Down 27% But Hillstone Networks Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688030) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 30 18:14

Hillstone Networks Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688030) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 34% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Hillstone NetworksLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's IT industry is similar at about 3.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Hillstone NetworksLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688030 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 30th 2024

What Does Hillstone NetworksLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

Hillstone NetworksLtd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hillstone NetworksLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hillstone NetworksLtd?

Hillstone NetworksLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 30%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 18% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 50% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 45% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Hillstone NetworksLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Following Hillstone NetworksLtd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Hillstone NetworksLtd currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Hillstone NetworksLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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