share_log

Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 31% Over the Past 5 Years, Transfar Zhilian (SZSE:002010) Has Been Growing Its Earnings

Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 31% Over the Past 5 Years, Transfar Zhilian (SZSE:002010) Has Been Growing Its Earnings

儘管在過去的5年中給投資者帶來了31%的損失,但傳化智聯(SZSE:002010)的收益一直在增長
Simply Wall St ·  01/30 00:35

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Transfar Zhilian Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002010) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 36% over a half decade. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 24% in the last year. On the other hand the share price has bounced 8.2% over the last week.

理想情況下,您的整體投資組合應超過市場平均水平。但是在任何投資組合中,個股之間的結果都會好壞參半。因此,我們不會責怪傳化智聯有限公司(SZSE:002010)的長期股東對他們的持股決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了36%。而且,受傷害的不僅僅是長揸者,因爲該股去年下跌了24%。另一方面,股價在上週反彈了8.2%。

The recent uptick of 8.2% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

最近8.2%的上漲可能是即將發生的事情的積極信號,所以讓我們來看看歷史基本面。

See our latest analysis for Transfar Zhilian

查看我們對Transfar Zhilian的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:從短期來看,市場是一臺投票機器,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Transfar Zhilian actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 8.0% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

在股價下滑的不幸五年中,Transfar Zhilian的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長8.0%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市場如何估值股票的好指南。或者,市場此前可能非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股還是令人失望。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由於每股收益增長率與股價增長形成鮮明對比,我們傾向於參考其他指標來了解圍繞該股的市場情緒變化。

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 17% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

與股價形成鮮明對比的是,在五年期間,收入實際上每年增長17%。因此,看來人們可能必須仔細研究基本面才能理解股價下跌的原因。畢竟,可能有機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002010 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 30th 2024
SZSE: 002010 年收益和收入增長 2024 年 1 月 30 日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

資產負債表的強度至關重要。可能值得一看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而變化的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Transfar Zhilian the TSR over the last 5 years was -31%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,對於Transfar Zhilian而言,過去5年的股東總回報率爲-31%,好於上述股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 20% in the twelve months, Transfar Zhilian shareholders did even worse, losing 23% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Transfar Zhilian is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約20%,但Transfar Zhilian股東的表現甚至更糟,損失了23%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。如果有很好的機會,可能值得關注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表現可能預示着尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年中5%的年化虧損還要糟糕。總的來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究該股以期出現轉機。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。即便如此,請注意,Transfar Zhilian在我們的投資分析中顯示了4個警告信號,其中一個信號很重要...

But note: Transfar Zhilian may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:Transfar Zhilian可能不是最好的買入股票。因此,來看看這份過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論