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Is Dirui IndustrialLtd (SZSE:300396) A Risky Investment?

Is Dirui IndustrialLtd (SZSE:300396) A Risky Investment?

迪瑞工業有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300396)是風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/25 21:52

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Dirui Industrial Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300396) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到迪瑞實業有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所代碼:300396)確實在其業務中使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Dirui IndustrialLtd

查看我們對迪瑞工業有限公司的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Dirui IndustrialLtd Carry?

迪瑞工業有限公司揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Dirui IndustrialLtd had CN¥342.8m of debt, up from CN¥293.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥849.0m in cash, so it actually has CN¥506.2m net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,迪瑞工業有限公司的債務爲3.428億元人民幣,高於去年同期的2.930億元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,其資產負債表顯示它持有8.49億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有5.062億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300396 Debt to Equity History January 26th 2024
SZSE: 300396 2024 年 1 月 26 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Dirui IndustrialLtd's Balance Sheet?

迪瑞工業有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Dirui IndustrialLtd had liabilities of CN¥926.3m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥100.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥849.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥332.0m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥154.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,迪瑞工業有限公司的負債爲9.263億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲1.001億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有8.49億元的現金以及價值3.320億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有1.546億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Dirui IndustrialLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Dirui IndustrialLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種短期流動性表明,由於其資產負債表遠未緊張,Dirui IndustrialLTD可能會輕鬆還清債務。簡而言之,Dirui IndustrialLTD擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Dirui IndustrialLtd has boosted its EBIT by 38%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Dirui IndustrialLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

除此之外,我們很高興地向大家報告,迪瑞工業有限公司已將其息稅前利潤提高了38%,從而減少了對未來債務償還的擔憂。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定迪瑞工業有限公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Dirui IndustrialLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Dirui IndustrialLtd recorded free cash flow of 44% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。儘管Dirui IndustrialLTD的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。從最近三年來看,迪瑞工業有限公司錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的44%,低於我們的預期。這種疲軟的現金轉換使得處理債務變得更加困難。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Dirui IndustrialLtd has CN¥506.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 38% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Dirui IndustrialLtd's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Dirui IndustrialLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,迪瑞工業有限公司的淨現金爲5.062億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長38%的樣子。因此,我們認爲迪瑞工業有限公司使用債務沒有風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了迪瑞工業有限公司的兩個警告信號,在投資之前,您應該注意這些信號。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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