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Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:605358) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:605358) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

杭州萊恩電子有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:605358)使用債務可能被視爲有風險
Simply Wall St ·  01/24 22:43

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Hangzhou Lion Electronics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:605358) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們可以看到杭州萊恩電子有限公司, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:605358)確實在其業務中使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東才能控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地很好地管理債務,而且有利於自己的利益。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。

View our latest analysis for Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd

查看我們對杭州萊恩電子有限公司的最新分析

How Much Debt Does Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd Carry?

杭州萊恩電子有限公司揹負了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd had debt of CN¥5.74b, up from CN¥2.61b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.68b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥3.07b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月,杭州萊恩電子有限公司的債務爲57.4億元人民幣,高於一年內的26.1億元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲26.8億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲30.7億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:605358 Debt to Equity History January 25th 2024
SHSE: 605358 2024 年 1 月 25 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's Balance Sheet?

杭州萊恩電子有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.04b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥6.59b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.68b in cash and CN¥1.65b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.31b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,杭州萊恩電子有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲20.4億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲65.9億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有26.8億加元的現金和16.5億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出43.1億元人民幣。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥16.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲杭州萊恩電子有限公司的市值爲160億元人民幣,因此如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來加強資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

While Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.4, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's EBIT was down 83% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

儘管杭州萊恩電子有限公司的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率(3.9)表明它使用了部分債務,但其利息保障非常薄弱,爲2.4,這表明槓桿率很高。看來該企業會產生巨額折舊和攤銷費用,因此其債務負擔可能比最初出現的要重,因爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤可以說是衡量收益的豐厚指標。因此,股東可能應該意識到,最近利息支出似乎確實影響了業務。更糟糕的是,杭州萊恩電子有限公司的息稅前利潤比去年下降了83%。如果收益長期保持這樣的水平,那麼償還債務的可能性很小。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定杭州萊恩電子有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,杭州萊恩電子有限公司的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Hangzhou Lion ElectronicsLtd (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

坦率地說,杭州萊恩電子有限公司將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,以及其(不)增長息稅前利潤的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。話雖如此,它處理總負債的能力並不令人擔憂。我們很清楚,由於其資產負債表狀況良好,我們認爲杭州萊恩電子有限公司的風險確實相當大。因此,我們對這隻魚的警惕幾乎就像一隻飢餓的小貓要掉進主人的魚池一樣警惕:正如他們所說,一旦被咬傷,兩次害羞。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了杭州萊恩電子有限公司的3個警告標誌(其中一個有點令人擔憂),你應該注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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