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Some Mabpharm Limited (HKG:2181) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 41% Pounding

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 24 17:00

The Mabpharm Limited (HKG:2181) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 41%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 27% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, Mabpharm's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 15x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 10.5x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Mabpharm

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2181 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 24th 2024

What Does Mabpharm's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Mabpharm as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Mabpharm, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Mabpharm would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 133%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 82% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Mabpharm's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Despite the recent share price weakness, Mabpharm's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look into Mabpharm has shown that it currently trades on a higher than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term trends, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Mabpharm (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Mabpharm's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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