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Guangzhou Restaurant Group Company Limited's (SHSE:603043) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 22 02:25

With its stock down 7.8% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Guangzhou Restaurant Group (SHSE:603043). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Guangzhou Restaurant Group's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Restaurant Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Restaurant Group is:

15% = CN¥577m ÷ CN¥3.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.15 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Guangzhou Restaurant Group's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

At first glance, Guangzhou Restaurant Group seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.2%. This probably laid the ground for Guangzhou Restaurant Group's moderate 9.2% net income growth seen over the past five years.

When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 29% in the same 5-year period, the company's net income growth is pretty remarkable.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603043 Past Earnings Growth January 22nd 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is 603043 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 603043 is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Guangzhou Restaurant Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 39% (implying that the company retains 61% of its profits), it seems that Guangzhou Restaurant Group is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Additionally, Guangzhou Restaurant Group has paid dividends over a period of six years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 33%. Regardless, the future ROE for Guangzhou Restaurant Group is predicted to rise to 19% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Guangzhou Restaurant Group's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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