The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited (HKG:1341) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group
How Much Debt Does Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Carry?
As you can see below, Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group had HK$948.0m of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have HK$134.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$814.0m.
How Strong Is Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group had liabilities of HK$425.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$617.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$134.0m and HK$579.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$329.0m.
Of course, Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group has a market capitalization of HK$7.93b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Strangely Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 9.9, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 1k. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! Notably, Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 135% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
The good news is that Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its net debt to EBITDA has the opposite effect. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.