When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 32x, you may consider Xinfengming Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603225) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 49.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Xinfengming Group as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Xinfengming Group
How Is Xinfengming Group's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Xinfengming Group's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 33%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 31% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 307% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 43% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Xinfengming Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Xinfengming Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Xinfengming Group (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Xinfengming Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.