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Carrols Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TAST) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 18 07:31

Despite an already strong run, Carrols Restaurant Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TAST) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. This latest share price bounce rounds out a remarkable 345% gain over the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Carrols Restaurant Group as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Carrols Restaurant Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:TAST Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2024

How Has Carrols Restaurant Group Performed Recently?

Carrols Restaurant Group could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Carrols Restaurant Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Carrols Restaurant Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Carrols Restaurant Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.8%. The latest three year period has also seen a 21% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.6% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 17% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Carrols Restaurant Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Carrols Restaurant Group's P/S?

Carrols Restaurant Group's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of Carrols Restaurant Group's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Carrols Restaurant Group (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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