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Pinning Down Guangdong Highsun Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000861) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 15 18:03

When close to half the companies in the Real Estate industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.6x, you may consider Guangdong Highsun Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000861) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000861 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 15th 2024

How Has Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd Performed Recently?

For instance, Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 38%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 58% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Having said that, be aware Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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