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Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Momentum Financial Holdings Limited's (HKG:1152) 29% Price Drop

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 7 19:25

Momentum Financial Holdings Limited (HKG:1152) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

After such a large drop in price, Momentum Financial Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Diversified Financial industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.2x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Momentum Financial Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1152 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 8th 2024

What Does Momentum Financial Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Momentum Financial Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Momentum Financial Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Momentum Financial Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

Momentum Financial Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 72%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 80% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Momentum Financial Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Momentum Financial Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Momentum Financial Holdings have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Momentum Financial Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Momentum Financial Holdings you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Momentum Financial Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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