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Revenues Tell The Story For China Dongxiang (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:3818) As Its Stock Soars 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 5 17:13

China Dongxiang (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:3818) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 15% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that China Dongxiang (Group)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Luxury industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for China Dongxiang (Group)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3818 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 5th 2024

What Does China Dongxiang (Group)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

China Dongxiang (Group) could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think China Dongxiang (Group)'s future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like China Dongxiang (Group)'s is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.8% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 15% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 11% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 12%, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's understandable that China Dongxiang (Group)'s P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.

What Does China Dongxiang (Group)'s P/S Mean For Investors?

China Dongxiang (Group) appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've seen that China Dongxiang (Group) maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Dongxiang (Group) that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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