With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.3x Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000429) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 64x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the earnings slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development
Is There Any Growth For Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 14%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 99% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 10% per annum during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 23% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.