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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On China Primary Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:8117) Even After 42% Share Price Boost

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 4 17:41

China Primary Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:8117) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 42% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 54% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that China Primary Energy Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Gas Utilities industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for China Primary Energy Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8117 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2024

How China Primary Energy Holdings Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Primary Energy Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Primary Energy Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For China Primary Energy Holdings?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like China Primary Energy Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.6%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 93% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 6.1% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that China Primary Energy Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now China Primary Energy Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We didn't quite envision China Primary Energy Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for China Primary Energy Holdings (3 are concerning!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of China Primary Energy Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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