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Newell Brands Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NWL) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 4 12:09

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Consumer Durables industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Newell Brands Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NWL) P/S ratio of 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Newell Brands

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:NWL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2024

How Has Newell Brands Performed Recently?

Newell Brands could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Newell Brands will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Newell Brands' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 10% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 1.1% per year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.1% per year.

With this information, we find it concerning that Newell Brands is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Newell Brands' P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our check of Newell Brands' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Newell Brands that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Newell Brands' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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