share_log

Pinning Down Stem, Inc.'s (NYSE:STEM) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 4 08:31

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.6x in the Electrical industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Stem, Inc.'s (NYSE:STEM) P/S ratio of 1.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Stem

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:STEM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2024

How Has Stem Performed Recently?

Stem certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Stem's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Stem?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Stem would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 73% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 30% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 52% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Stem's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Stem's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that Stem's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Stem that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Stem, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment