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Investor Optimism Abounds China Tianrui Group Cement Company Limited (HKG:1252) But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 3 17:12

China Tianrui Group Cement Company Limited's (HKG:1252) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Basic Materials industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios below 0.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for China Tianrui Group Cement

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1252 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2024

How China Tianrui Group Cement Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Tianrui Group Cement over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Tianrui Group Cement will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For China Tianrui Group Cement?

China Tianrui Group Cement's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 21%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 18% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for a contraction of 4.3% shows the industry is more attractive on an annualised basis regardless.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that China Tianrui Group Cement's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. With revenue going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. There's potential for the P/S to fall to lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth, which would be difficult to do with the current industry outlook.

What We Can Learn From China Tianrui Group Cement's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of China Tianrui Group Cement revealed its sharp three-year contraction in revenue isn't impacting its high P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the industry is set to shrink less severely. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. In addition, we would be concerned whether the company can even maintain its medium-term level of performance under these tough industry conditions. This would place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for China Tianrui Group Cement (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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