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There's No Escaping Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603396) Muted Revenues Despite A 27% Share Price Rise

Simply Wall St ·  Jan 2 17:43

Yingkou Jinchen Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603396) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 8x and even P/S higher than 15x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Yingkou Jinchen Machinery

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603396 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 2nd 2024

What Does Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for Yingkou Jinchen Machinery recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 123% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 40% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What Does Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's P/S Mean For Investors?

Yingkou Jinchen Machinery's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

In line with expectations, Yingkou Jinchen Machinery maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Yingkou Jinchen Machinery you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Yingkou Jinchen Machinery, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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