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China National Software & Service Company Limited's (SHSE:600536) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 31 20:39

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.8x China National Software & Service Company Limited (SHSE:600536) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.4x and even P/S higher than 11x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for China National Software & Service

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600536 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 1st 2024

What Does China National Software & Service's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

China National Software & Service could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Keen to find out how analysts think China National Software & Service's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, China National Software & Service would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 29% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 67% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 71% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 36% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that China National Software & Service's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On China National Software & Service's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

China National Software & Service's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China National Software & Service that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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