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Improved Revenues Required Before Inly Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603598) Stock's 25% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 31 19:20

Despite an already strong run, Inly Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603598) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 123% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Inly Media's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Media industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.9x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Inly Media

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603598 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 1st 2024

How Has Inly Media Performed Recently?

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Inly Media's revenue has been unimpressive. Perhaps the market believes the recent lacklustre revenue performance is a sign of future underperformance relative to industry peers, hurting the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Inly Media's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Inly Media?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Inly Media's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its revenue growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow revenue meaningfully over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we can see why Inly Media is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Inly Media's P/S

Inly Media's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Inly Media revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Inly Media that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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