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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Golden Faith Group Holdings Limited (HKG:2863) Even After 30% Share Price Boost

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 29, 2023 18:29

Golden Faith Group Holdings Limited (HKG:2863) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 5.5% over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Golden Faith Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Hong Kong's Construction industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Golden Faith Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2863 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2023

How Has Golden Faith Group Holdings Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Golden Faith Group Holdings has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Golden Faith Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Golden Faith Group Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Golden Faith Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 93%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 175% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 12%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's curious that Golden Faith Group Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Golden Faith Group Holdings' P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Golden Faith Group Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

To our surprise, Golden Faith Group Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Golden Faith Group Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Golden Faith Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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