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Sunlight (1977) Holdings Limited (HKG:8451) Shares May Have Slumped 43% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 29, 2023 18:08

Sunlight (1977) Holdings Limited (HKG:8451) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 43% share price drop in the last month. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 139% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Sunlight (1977) Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.9x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Sunlight (1977) Holdings has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Sunlight (1977) Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8451 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sunlight (1977) Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Sunlight (1977) Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 150%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 64% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Sunlight (1977) Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, Sunlight (1977) Holdings' P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Sunlight (1977) Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Sunlight (1977) Holdings (1 is concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Sunlight (1977) Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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