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It's Down 31% But Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (NASDAQ:CMTL) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 27, 2023 13:54

Comtech Telecommunications Corp. (NASDAQ:CMTL) shares have retraced a considerable 31% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 28% share price drop.

After such a large drop in price, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may consider Comtech Telecommunications as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Comtech Telecommunications

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CMTL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 27th 2023

What Does Comtech Telecommunications' Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Comtech Telecommunications has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Comtech Telecommunications.

How Is Comtech Telecommunications' Revenue Growth Trending?

Comtech Telecommunications' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 1.9% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 0.4% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Comtech Telecommunications' P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Comtech Telecommunications' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Communications companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

To us, it seems Comtech Telecommunications currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Comtech Telecommunications that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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