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Accolade, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACCD) Looks Just Right With A 44% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 25, 2023 07:08

Accolade, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACCD) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 44% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 40%.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Accolade as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Accolade

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ACCD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2023

What Does Accolade's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Accolade as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Accolade.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Accolade would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.5% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 159% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.7% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Accolade is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does Accolade's P/S Mean For Investors?

Accolade shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Accolade's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Accolade has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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