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PulteGroup, Inc.'s (NYSE:PHM) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market

Simply Wall St ·  Dec 25, 2023 06:33

PulteGroup, Inc.'s (NYSE:PHM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for PulteGroup as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for PulteGroup

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:PHM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on PulteGroup.

Is There Any Growth For PulteGroup?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, PulteGroup would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 167% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 0.1% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why PulteGroup is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From PulteGroup's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that PulteGroup maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for PulteGroup that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of PulteGroup's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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